Archive for March, 2013

1 Dylan Bundy  – Baltimore Orioles® P
2 Jurickson Profar  – Texas Rangers® SS
3 Oscar Taveras  – St. Louis Cardinals® OF
4 Travis d’Arnaud  – New York Mets® C
5 Jose Fernandez  – Miami Marlins™ P
6 Gerrit Cole  – Pittsburgh Pirates® P
7 Zack Wheeler  – New York Mets® P
8 Wil Myers  – Tampa Bay Rays™ OF
9 Miguel Sano  – Minnesota Twins® 3B
10 Trevor Bauer  – Cleveland Indians® P
11 Xander Bogaerts  – Boston Red Sox® SS
12 Tyler Skaggs  – Arizona Diamondbacks® P
13 Billy Hamilton  – Cincinnati Reds® OF
14 Javier Baez  – Chicago Cubs® SS
15 Mike Zunino  – Seattle Mariners™ C
16 Christian Yelich  – Miami Marlins™ OF
17 Taijuan Walker  – Seattle Mariners™ P
18 Shelby Miller  – St. Louis Cardinals® P
19 Jameson Taillon  – Pittsburgh Pirates® P
20 Nick Castellanos  – Detroit Tigers® OF
21 Archie Bradley  – Arizona Diamondbacks® P
22 Danny Hultzen  – Seattle Mariners™ P
23 Taylor Guerrieri  – Tampa Bay Rays™ P
24 Byron Buxton  – Minnesota Twins® OF
25 David Dahl  – Colorado Rockies™ OF
26 Francisco Lindor  – Cleveland Indians® SS
27 Bubba Starling  – Kansas City Royals® OF
28 Carlos Correa  – Houston Astros® SS
29 Mike Olt  – Texas Rangers® 1B
30 Jonathan Singleton  – Houston Astros® 1B
31 Anthony Rendon  – Washington Nationals® 3B
32 Gregory Polanco  – Pittsburgh Pirates® OF
33 Carlos Martinez  – St. Louis Cardinals® P
34 Jorge  Soler  – Chicago Cubs® OF
35 Matt Barnes  – Boston Red Sox® P
36 Kevin Gausman  – Baltimore Orioles® P
37 Albert Almora  – Chicago Cubs® OF
38 Alen Hanson  – Pittsburgh Pirates® SS
39 Addison Russell  – Oakland Athletics™ SS
40 Jedd Gyorko  – San Diego Padres™ 3B
41 Gary Sanchez  – New York Yankees® C
42 Noah Syndergaard  – New York Mets® P
43 Jackie Bradley  – Boston Red Sox® OF
44 Mason Williams  – New York Yankees® OF
45 George Springer  – Houston Astros® OF
46 Aaron Sanchez  – Toronto Blue Jays® P
47 Nolan Arenado  – Colorado Rockies™ 3B
48 Corey Seager  – Los Angeles Dodgers® SS
49 Kyle Zimmer  – Kansas City Royals® P
50 Tyler Austin  – New York Yankees® OF
51 Kyle Crick  – San Francisco Giants® P
52 Robert Stephenson  – Cincinnati Reds® P
53 Joc Pederson  – Los Angeles Dodgers® OF
54 Julio Teheran  – Atlanta Braves™ P
55 Brian Goodwin  – Washington Nationals® OF
56 Kaleb Cowart  – Angels® 3B
57 Tony Cingrani  – Cincinnati Reds® P
58 Yasiel Puig  – Los Angeles Dodgers® OF
59 Oswaldo Arcia  – Minnesota Twins® OF
60 Trevor Rosenthal  – St. Louis Cardinals® P
61 Alex Meyer  – Minnesota Twins® P
62 Jake Odorizzi  – Tampa Bay Rays™ P
63 Jake Marisnick  – Miami Marlins™ OF
64 Adam Eaton  – Arizona Diamondbacks® OF
65 Rymer Liriano  – San Diego Padres™ OF
66 Brad Miller  – Seattle Mariners™ SS
67 Max Fried  – San Diego Padres™ P
68 Eddie Rosario  – Minnesota Twins® 2B
69 Justin Nicolino  – Miami Marlins™ P
70 Cody Buckel  – Texas Rangers® P
71 Jesse Biddle  – Philadelphia Phillies® P
72 James Paxton  – Seattle Mariners™ P
73 Allen Webster  – Boston Red Sox® P
74 Kyle Gibson  – Minnesota Twins® P
75 Nick Franklin  – Seattle Mariners™ 2B
76 Dorssys Paulino  – Cleveland Indians® SS
77 Hyun-Jin Ryu  – Los Angeles Dodgers® P
78 Courtney Hawkins  – Chicago White Sox® OF
79 Delino DeShields  – Houston Astros® 2B
80 Joey Gallo  – Texas Rangers® 3B
81 Hak-Ju Lee  – Tampa Bay Rays™ SS
82 Kolten Wong  – St. Louis Cardinals® 2B
83 Aaron Hicks  – Minnesota Twins® OF
84 Michael Choice  – Oakland Athletics™ OF
85 Luis Heredia  – Pittsburgh Pirates® P
86 C.J. Cron  – Angels® 1B
87 Lucas Giolito  – Washington Nationals® P
88 Daniel Vogelbach  – Chicago Cubs® 1B
89 Austin Hedges  – San Diego Padres™ C
90 Matt Davidson  – Arizona Diamondbacks® 3B
91 Gary Brown  – San Francisco Giants® OF
92 Daniel Corcino  – Cincinnati Reds® P
93 Adalberto Mondesi  – Kansas City Royals® SS
94 Victor Sanchez  – Seattle Mariners™ P
95 A.J. Cole  – Washington Nationals® P
96 Joe Panik  – San Francisco Giants® SS
97 J.O. Berrios  – Minnesota Twins® P
98 Trevor Story  – Colorado Rockies™ SS
99 Stefen Romero  – Seattle Mariners™ 2B
100 Andrew Heaney  – Miami Marlins™ P

Spring training is the time of year to speculate about prospects and which ones will make their major league debut during the season, and when they will get the call.  Many times those who are consensus picks to make an immediate impact fail at first, and in that time, new names emerge, that no one saw coming and thrust themselves into the spotlight.  Acknowledging that, here are my preseason picks of players who should be top contenders for the 2013 National League Rookie of the Year Award.

San Diego Padres: Jedd Gyorko, 2B

Screen shot 2013-03-19 at 3.10.21 PMGyorko has produced very well this spring, coming into the week with a .298/.327/.596 line and expected to win the Padres second base job out of camp.  Expect a good batting average and double digit home runs, but the power should dip a bit from the minor league numbers especially entering spacious Petco Park.  Gyorko should hit in a premium position in a relatively weak lineup, giving him a chance to drive in a good number of runs.

Arizona Diamondbacks: Adam Eaton, CF

The speedy center fielder is expected to open the season in the lead-off spot for the Diamondbacks.   Sporting a .358/.375/.491 line thus far this spring, Eaton should provide a good glove in the outfield and steal 25-30 bags in his rookie campaign.  The question is how often the 24-year-old can get on base in his freshman campaign, but a .350 OBP certainly isn’t out of the question.

St. Louis Cardinals: Trevor Rosenthal, P

Screen shot 2013-03-19 at 3.05.35 PMBowman’s 60th ranked prospect, Rosenthal should open the season in a set-up role for the big club.  Averaging a strikeout per inning for his minor league club, Rosenthal seems made for this role.  Although not the flashiest of positions as far as putting up numbers, middle relievers have begun to earn more love in recent seasons thanks in part to SABR metrics.  And playing on a team considered to be one of the pre-season favorites to win the NL Central, Rosenthal should get more exposure.

St. Louis Cardinals: Oscar Taveras, OF

It is pretty much a forgone conclusion that Taveras will start the season at AAA, but bet on the 20-year-old ending up in St. Louis sooner, rather than later.    Bowman’s number three overall prospect for 2013, Taveras can hit for power and average while playing multiple outfield positions.  Whether it’s due to an injury to Carlos Beltran or the need for another bat, I think Taveras will play his way into the big leagues by the end of May.  A .290 average with double digits in homers and steals the rest of the way would not surprise me.

Cincinnati Reds, Billy Hamilton, OF/SS

There are more questions about Billy Hamilton than anyone else on this list.  The Reds are transitioning him to the outfieldScreen shot 2013-03-13 at 7.31.40 PM and he will open the season at AAA.  Dusty Baker tends to use young players sparingly and rely more on his veterans, and the key to Hamilton’s success in the big leagues will be his ability to get on base.  Will the 22-year-old make it to the big leagues this year, and if he does will Dusty play him?  These are the two key questions.  Whether it is in the outfield or at short, B-Ham should make it to the show around mid-season and will find a way into the lineup more often than not.  If he can manage to get on base at a .350 clip, there’s no reason he can’t steal at least 30 bags in the second half with regular playing time.

New York Mets: Travis d’Arnaud, C

Expect d’Arnaud to open the season at AAA and once it is certain he won’t make Super-Two status, he’ll be promoted to the big club to take over the every day catching duties.  A premium defender, d’Arnaud has put up a .308/.387/.423 line through Monday, and has potential to hit for average and power with a .290/.360/.460 line from May through September.

New York Mets: Zack Wheeler, P

Screen shot 2013-03-13 at 7.34.48 PMLike d’Arnaud, Wheeler will open the season at AAA but it is only a matter of time before he joins the big club.  Potential Super-Two status should keep Wheeler down for a little bit, but questions about the health of Dillon Gee, Johan Santana and Shaun Marcum will have Wheeler’s phone number on speed dial.  Once he comes up, expect him to stay as he his my odds on favorite to take the NL ROY honors this year.  Last month CBS Sports Danny Knobler reported “One scout who saw Wheeler spring debut: ‘Same stuff as Strasburg. That will go down as best trade Sandy Alderson will make in his life.’”

The Comeback Kids

Posted: March 14, 2013 in by J.P. Schwartz

Greetings, fellow prospectors.

In my very first blog, I picked 30 prospects, one for each team’s farm system, who I believe will have breakout seasons this year, and could step into the limelight. In this edition, I will choose 30 different prospects who had what would be considered substandard seasons last year – injuries notwithstanding – and who have a shot at turning things around this season.

Keon Broxton (Diamondbacks) – Played in the hitter-friendly CAL, but pitch recognition worked against him last year, particularly with breaking stuff. Has excellent athleticism, defensive skills and a great arm.

Julio Teheran (Braves) – Had delivery problems which led to reduced velocity last year, as well as a below average breaking ball. Looked much improved in Winter ball, as well as Spring Training, and has a good shot at claiming the #5 spot this year.

Parker Bridwell (Orioles) – He got hit hard the past two seasons, thanks to a delivery in which he struggled to repeat, as well as a larger number of innings than he was used to. He still has a potentially above average curveball, as well as good life on his fastball.

ImageBlake Swihart (Red Sox) – His only real stumbling block was adjusting to tougher competition last year. Very athletic switch-hitter, with good arm strength behind the plate. Has been compared to a young Buster Posey.

Brett Jackson (Cubs) – His strikeout problems were on full display last year, especially after getting his first call up to Wrigley. He is re-working his swing to cut back on K’s, as well as trying to stop chasing pitches out of the zone. He can still draw walks, has good power and is very solid in the outfield.

Jared Mitchell (White Sox) – He has significant holes in his swing (as evidenced by his 362 K’s in two seasons), but has very good raw power and is a solid defender. If he can turn things around at the plate, he could force a call up next year.

Yorman Rodriguez (Reds) – He chased too many pitches out of the zone last year, especially fastballs, and reportedly had bad makeup. Despite this, his tools are for real, especially above average raw power. The Reds still believe in his stuff, as they added him to the 40-man last November.

Tony Wolters (Indians) – Started off on the wrong foot in the first half last year, as he couldn’t reach .200, but rebounded in the second. He had hamate surgery in 2011 (which sapped much of his power), but could still hit 10-15 in a good season. Has a great arm, and plays well at both SS and 2B.

Tyler Matzek (Rockies) – If he had better control and command, he could become one of the best lefties in the minors. He led the CAL league in both walks and K’s last season. Can touch 95 with his heater, and has improved his delivery, which in turn has boosted the effectiveness of his curve. In a best case scenario, he could become a #2-3 starter.

Daniel Fields (Tigers) – Perhaps Detroit pushed him too far, too fast after signing, as he’s languished at High-A Lakeland most of the time since. Despite this, he still has great arm strength, above average power, and is a solid athlete.

Robbie Grossman (Astros) – Despite not having any above average tools, he was putting up impressive numbers all around until being dealt from Pittsburgh’s system last year. He can still become a solid centerfielder in Houston if he can take better routes, and improve his walk rate.

ImageCheslor Cuthbert (Royals) – His patience at the plate took a dive last year, as did his reported above-average power. He still possesses one of the system’s best arms, and with an improved swing, we could see the great potential Kansas City saw in him when he signed.

Cam Bedrosian (Angels) – After coming back from Tommy John surgery in 2011, his control fell apart last year, as did his breaking ball. His velocity also suffered. If he can somehow regain his high school form (touched 96, with good secondary stuff), there’s still hope.

Garrett Gould (Dodgers) – Reports that he’d gotten out of shape since 2011, which led to a drop in velocity and lack of command, combined to make a lackluster year in the CAL. If he can get more movement on his heat and gets back on track physically in AA, he could possibly repeat his 2011 campaign.

Zack Cox (Marlins) – As was the case with Grossman, a change in scenery led to a struggle for him last year, as his hitting mechanics went out of whack. His speed also slowed. If he can regain his form, especially his swing, he could become an asset for Miami.

Jed Bradley (Brewers) – After sustaining a groin injury in his first spring training after signing, the wheels came off for him, especially when it came to his command. When healthy, he can touch 93, with a good mid-80’s slider. He’s deserving of a mulligan back at High-A Brevard County, and could return to his college form, if healthy.

Levi Michael (Twins) – He didn’t come as advertised when Minnesota got him in the supplemental round of the 2011 draft in terms of physicality, according to scouts, but in instructional league he showed improvement in terms of speed and arm strength. He’ll likely return to High-A for another shot this year.

Cory Vaughn (Mets) – Power is his calling card, but his swing was a concern last year, which led to quite a few K’s. He can handle RF though, and has a good arm. He could be up to the task in AA this year with what he’s got.

J.R. Murphy (Yankees) – As he competes with Romine and Sanchez for a future catching job, he shows a good swing and solid receiving skills. If he stays healthy, he’s most definitely in the mix to win the job sometime in the future.

ImageSonny Gray (A’s) – Mechanical issues led to poor command and a flattening out of his pitches last year. He can still hit 97, with a great breaker, and did finish strong. Could still become a #2-3 SP.

Brody Colvin (Phillies) – His pure stuff has never been in question, but consistency hasn’t been his friend the past two seasons. He can still hit the mid 90’s, aided by a good curve and changeup. With improved command, could still have a bright future as a SP, assuming the Phillies retain him in the role.

Andy Oliver (Pirates) – Recently acquired from the Tigers’ system, he led the IL with 88 walks last year, but still possesses a fastball that can touch 96. If he can improve his command and the consistency of his changeup, he could still develop into a mid-rotation starter.

Ryan Jackson (Cardinals) – While his bat and plate discipline have been considered to be only average, he’s widely considered the best defensive shortstop in the system. Should the former catch up to the latter this year, watch out.

Jaff Decker (Padres) – It’s been said he’s more athletic than he looks (i.e., a thick lower half), but his numbers tumbled last year, and he didn’t swing enough at hittable pitches. He has solid power and can play anywhere in the outfield, although speed isn’t his forte. Could become more than a reserve, which some predict will become his role.

Andrew Susac (Giants) – He committed 14 errors in the CAL (a league high last year), and his game calling skills need work, but still managed to throw out Billy Hamilton twice in one game, and possesses good power. Clearly the Giants are still optimistic about him, given their trade of fellow catcher Tommy Joseph to the Phillies.

Francisco Martinez (Mariners) – His first full season with the M’s after being traded from Detroit’s system didn’t go as planned, with injuries and inconsistency at the plate to blame. While not a homerun hitter, he has a quick bat and good defensive skills. Youth is also on his side.

ImageHak-Ju Lee (Rays) – No one questions his above-average defensive skills at SS, but needs to work the count better at the plate and thus, be able to utilize his speed. He lost the last part of the season to injury, but did put up a 21-game hitting streak last year. He should see the Trop at some point this year.

Neil Ramirez (Rangers) – After dazzling in 2011, his 2012 couldn’t have been more different, thanks to shoulder fatigue and a switch in role to reliever. He can still touch 97, with a promising changeup and a developing slider.

Deck McGuire (Blue Jays) – He looked to be a future #3-4 SP two seasons ago, but lost 15 games and gave up 22 homeruns last year, thanks to a repertoire that doesn’t miss many bats. If he can work down in the zone more often, he could still be salvageable this year.

Michael Taylor (Nationals) – He’s been compared to B.J. Upton for his defense in center, as well as his power, but his stroke led to doubts about his hitting ability. If his offense catches up to his defense this year, he could perhaps challenge fellow highly touted outfielder Brian Goodwin for a job before long.

Here is the Bowman Scout Top Prospects #51-100:

#51 Kyle Crick – San Francisco Giants® P
#52 Robert Stephenson – Cincinnati Reds® P
#53 Joc Pederson – Los Angeles Dodgers® OF
#54 Julio Teheran – Atlanta Braves™ P
#55 Brian Goodwin – Washington Nationals® OF
#56 Kaleb Cowart – Angels® 3B
#57 Tony Cingrani – Cincinnati Reds® P
#58 Yasiel Puig – Los Angeles Dodgers® OF
#59 Oswaldo Arcia – Minnesota Twins® OF
#60 Trevor Rosenthal – St. Louis Cardinals® P
#61 Alex Meyer – Minnesota Twins® P
#62 Jake Odorizzi – Tampa Bay Rays™ P
#63 Jake Marisnick – Miami Marlins™ OF
#64 Adam Eaton – Arizona Diamondbacks® OF
#65 Rymer Liriano – San Diego Padres™ OF
#66 Brad Miller – Seattle Mariners™ SS
#67 Max Fried – San Diego Padres™ P
#68 Eddie Rosario – Minnesota Twins® 2B
#69 Justin Nicolino – Miami Marlins™ P
#70 Cody Buckel – Texas Rangers® P
#71 Jesse Biddle – Philadelphia Phillies® P
#72 James Paxton – Seattle Mariners™ P
#73 Allen Webster – Boston Red Sox® P
#74 Kyle Gibson – Minnesota Twins® P
#75 Nick Franklin – Seattle Mariners™ P
#76 Dorssys Paulino – Cleveland Indians® SS
#77 Hyun-Jin Ryu – Los Angeles Dodgers® P
#78 Courtney Hawkins – Chicago White Sox® OF
#79 Delino DeShields – Houston Astros® 2B
#80 Joey Gallo – Texas Rangers® 3B
#81 Hak-Ju Lee – Tampa Bay Rays™ SS
#82 Kolten Wong – St. Louis Cardinals® 2B
#83 Aaron Hicks – Minnesota Twins® OF
#84 Michael Choice – Oakland Athletics™ OF
#85 Luis Heredia – Pittsburgh Pirates® P
#86 C.J. Cron – Angels® 1B
#87 Lucas Giolito – Washington Nationals® P
#88 Daniel Vogelbach – Chicago Cubs® 1B
#89 Austin Hedges – San Diego Padres™ C
#90 Matt Davidson – Arizona Diamondbacks® 3B
#91 Gary Brown – San Francisco Giants® OF
#92 Daniel Corcino – Cincinnati Reds® P
#93 Adalberto Mondesi – Kansas City Royals® SS
#94 Victor Sanchez – Seattle Mariners™ P
#95 A.J. Cole – Washington Nationals® P
#96 Joe Panik – San Francisco Giants® SS
#97 Jose Berrios – Minnesota Twins® P
#98 Trevor Story – Colorado Rockies™ SS
#99 Stefen Romero – Seattle Mariners™ 2B
#100 Andrew Heaney – Miami Marlins™ P